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Basic Question 1 of 6
If we use an AR (1) model to specify a time series (quarterly data), the correct equation that includes a seasonal lag is:
B. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + b2 xt-4 + εt.
C. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + b2 xt-4.
A. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + εt.
B. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + b2 xt-4 + εt.
C. xt = b0 + b1 xt-1 + b2 xt-4.
User Contributed Comments 1
User | Comment |
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akirchner1 | 'Quarterly' is key here which is why t-4 is used. Can't forget the error term though. |

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Learning Outcome Statements
explain autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and describe how ARCH models can be applied to predict the variance of a time series;
CFA® 2025 Level II Curriculum, Volume 1, Module 5.